Auto accidents caused by deer kill 130 people a year. Bee
stings kill about 50 people a year. Bites from black widow or brown recluse
spiders kill about 6 people a year. Eastern Equine Encephalitis kills about 3
people a year. Between 1964 and 2004 there were 60 cases in Florida with
Georgia and Massachusetts tied for the dubious distinction of second place with
26 cases. The average annual number of
reported cases of EEE in people in the entire USA is between 5 and 6. Mortality
is in the 30-50% range with most survivors suffering permanent disability.
Since 2004 there has been an apparent uptick in reported cases and an increase
in mosquitoes trapped with the disease by researchers. Normally the disease
goes through peaks and valleys in a three year cycle, but that seems to be
changing. The most likely culprit (cover your ears and eyes, Republicans) is
global warming extending the mosquito season.
The good news, I suppose, is that you can be completely
stupid and take no precautions and still be more than likely to escape the
disease. The bad news is the disease is so rare and so deadly that it is
unlikely there are people walking around with antigens from a mild undetected
case as there are with West Nile. Even if you’ve lived in the swampland of
Easton all your life, you don’t have immunity to triple E.
Murderous Bambi (I knew that hunter killing his mom was a bad idea) doesn’t cause widespread panic like triple E.
Everyone hates mosquitoes including environmentalists who understand their role
in the food chain. EEE and mosquitoes are such insidious threats that they
easily induce fear. However, if you do a risk/benefit analysis shouldn’t we be
shooting deer or banning cars rather than spending money fighting triple E?
There’s no good answer to that question. The family of the
Raynham man who died want aerial spraying, but the state argues that the
criteria for aerial spraying has not been met. One death of a person in a
particularly susceptible category isn’t enough when virus concentrations in
trapped mosquitoes and the number of pools with infected bugs remain below a
certain level. Aerial spraying is expensive and only offers a temporary threat
reduction. You could still get EEE from a mosquito that wasn’t killed (knowing
you, dear reader, you’d stop taking precautions!) and even the mildest
pesticide has some unwanted environmental side effects for humans and other
animals.
That being said, I don’t see the harm in doing a limited
ground spray around the periphery of athletic fields. A mix of a relatively
safe adult pesticide with a larvacide coupled with the usual change in time for
sporting events would go far in alleviating the worry that parents
have. Ironically, it’s probably the spectators at athletic events that are most
at risk than the participants.
I know covering myself head to foot in Off did not prevent
me from getting bitten at the TPC last week. Spraying 18 holes on a golf course
was probably unrealistic and DEET did work pretty well while on the course.
However, spraying the edge of the cart yard, an acre area tucked into swampy
land, would have done a lot to cut down on mosquito bites for our volunteers
and the worry that I have about being the unlucky lottery winner receiving
triple E as my prize.
So, two cheers for a limited and thoughtful application of the
safest spray and don’t forget the other precautions as well. Here’s a
suggestion that no one speaks about: have the state spend money to fund
research to find a vaccine that is safe for humans. Such a vaccine already
exists for horses-our little guys are safe at Sheep Pasture. I suppose we’d discover that more people would die from a
large scale vaccination program than would ever die from triple E, but we
wouldn’t know until we’ve tried to develop a vaccine. Millions of people might die in a flu epidemic
justifying a few deaths from bad reactions to the vaccine, but if more than one
person a year died from the triple E vaccine, it wouldn’t be worth it.
Sometimes you just can’t beat Mother Nature!
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